Last year, the Fed commented on the historical level of corporate credit with rapid growth concentrated in the riskiest firms. One risk is a market dislocation which causes an increase in credit spreads and a contraction of credit market liquidity. In January 2020, Moody's Analytics questioned if overvalued equities increase the risk of high corporate debt, because the debt could impact profits and/or cash flow and this might promote a equity market downturn and increase pressure on companies with high debt. At the present time, the market overvaluation is not at the level of 1999-2000. Moody's Analytics has published a second commentary entitled, "How Corporate Credit Might Burst An Equity Bubble". The article continues the discussion of a market downturn amplifying corporate leverage and the two feeding on each other. The one data set you should watch
Friday, January 24, 2020
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